The Public’s Belief about Scientists’ Political Leanings
Posted by Jeffrey EllisAug 31
From Science Magazine comes this report about the Pew Research Center’s survey results on public opinions of scientists. (HT to Overecoming Bias.)
This graph shows the poll results of scientists’ political ideologies, compared to the public’s perception of scientists’ political ideologies.

And this graph compares scientists’ party affiliations with those of the general public:

So the public perceives that scientists are far more neutral (or perhaps just more apolitical) than scientists actually are. And scientists as a whole are overwhelmingly more liberal than the general public.
Which brings up a few interesting questions.
Why are scientists overwhelmingly liberal?
My own hypothesis is that it’s a combination of three primary factors (plus, probably a multitude of smaller factors which I’m ignoring here). Pardon the broad brush with which I’m painting:
- Scientists are inherent believers in the power of intelligence. They have faith in the ability of smart people to solve complex problems, centrally plan things, and try out new ideas. This makes them natural progressives. The conservative worldview is unattractive to scientists because conservatives prefer the tried-and-true, and will generally choose facts over theories.
- Scientists work in or closely with academia, which is overwhelmingly liberal.
- The Republican party is increasingly regarded as being somewhat hostile towards science, and GOP members have taken stances on topics such as stem cell research, evolution, and global warming that most scientists disagree with.
Why does the public believe scientists are so neutral?
My hypothesis: it’s a form of the appeal to authority fallacy. The public believes scientists are neutral because THEY’RE FREAKIN’ SCIENTISTS. They must be neutral, right? They are supposed to be pursuing the objective truth in their scientific endeavors. Surely this unbiased neutrality spills over into areas other than their scientific specialties, right? Like, say, politics?
And finally…
What is the take-away from all this?
The public’s uncritical faith in the neutrality of scientists is unwarranted, and the public needs to exercise a healthy dose of skepticism about scientific claims that have not yet withstood the test of time — particularly scientific claims regarding politically charged topics such as global warming. There is a wealth of information suggesting that scientists cannot overcome their own biases even within their own specialty, and it only gets worse when they express their opinions on subjects outside their areas of expertise. For more detail, I would refer you to the excellent book “When Good Thinking Goes Bad: How Your Brain Can Have A Mind Of Its Own” by Todd Riniolo. He cites numerous studies revealing the cognitive biases and belief-reinforcing behaviors of scientists, and gives examples of famous highly regarded critical thinkers who nevertheless held indefensible politically-motivated beliefs, even in the face of strong contradictory evidence. (Isaac Asimov and Albert Einstein are two of the figures he mentions in this context.)





12 comments
Comment by miller on August 31, 2009
Another possible explanation for the relative liberalness of scientists: it’s all about the money. A lot of science is government-funded! And it’s arguably better this way. A lot of scientific study works for the common good, being unprofitable to any private investor, but being profitable to the public as a whole.
Contrast engineers, who tend to be somewhat conservative. Engineers frequently work for large corporations, the kinds that are so often antagonized by liberals.
“Why does the public believe scientists are so neutral?”
I have a slightly different take on this. The public believes that in order for science to work, scientists must keep themselves unbiased. This is not true. The objective nature of science does not come from the scientists’ own personal views. The source of the objectivity is in the method, not the people. When done correctly, even the most strongly opinionated scientist should be able to produce evidence which contradicts his/her own views.
Of course, it can be difficult to execute scientific methods flawlessly, so sometimes scientific results do reflect the bias of scientists. Frequently, the best response to this is to fix the method, rather than fixing people’s opinions.
Comment by Jeffrey Ellis on August 31, 2009
miller - The money aspect did occur to me, especially in the context of academia scientists. And I have noticed too that engineers tend to be overwhelmingly conservative. I don’t think it has to do with any sympathies towards corporations or industry in general, though. I think it has to do with the engineering mindset that comes from seeing how things work, and the consequences when they fail to work — i.e., engineers are pragmatic (perhaps to a fault). I would also point out that the same types of personalities that are drawn to engineering — the “NT” type on the Myers-Briggs scale (i.e., INTJ, INTP, ENTJ, and ENTP) tend to be more Republican and Independent than the other personality types — so it could be that both engineering-ness and conservativeness are both correlated to personality type rather than to each other. See here: http://www.politicaltypes.com/content/view/24/56/
Comment by George on August 31, 2009
I concur. This is an excellent book.
That sounds right on the money that it’s the scientific process, especially the peer-reviewed angle, that keeps scientists honest.
I used to be a newspaper reporter and we all used to pretend we were unbiased, but clearly this is not the case. Reporters pursue the kinds of stories that interest them for one, and the kinds of (leading) questions and facts they dig up will always be biased and frequently reinforce their own beliefs.
Comment by Alex Winston on August 31, 2009
Hi Jeff,
Interesting stuff. Remember that many scientists are also bureaucrats who rely on government spending for their survival. Also, most scientists have career and research goals that they believe could be attained if they could only get more money from government grants. They are therefore disposed to want more taxes and more government funds.
-Alex
Comment by Jeffrey Ellis on September 1, 2009
George — yes, I do like the book — sorry I haven’t had the chance to jump into the book discussion! I would add that part of the problem with the peer review process is that it can often just be groupthink — like-biased scientists validating each others’ opinions.
Alex — agreed - this is particularly true of scientists in academia.
Comment by jess on September 9, 2009
Hi Jeff,
The information above is interesting, but your take-away message seems to conflict with your “model of belief”. If a wealth of information suggests that scientists are unable to overcome their biases in or outside their field (a field with an objective method of testing hypotheses), it’s very likely that no one else is able to separate critical thinking from biases either.
Comment by Jeffrey Ellis on September 9, 2009
All true, except I’m not sure how that conflicts with my model of belief. It is merely the case that scientists engage in biased-based belief more so than the public thinks.
Comment by jess on September 9, 2009
Only in that you’ve separated critical-thinking belief completely from bias-based belief in your model. It seems to me that there would (unfortunately) be considerable overlap of the two inspite of how hard we might try to separate them.
Comment by Jeffrey Ellis on September 9, 2009
Ah, that does make sense. Good point. Perhaps I should revise the model to show an overlap. (In reality it is probably a continuum.)
Pingback by Scientists, engineers, and politics :The Thinker on August 11, 2010
[...] scientists are overwhelmingly liberal is well supported by surveys (see this post). That engineers are overwhelmingly conservative/libertarian is widely believed (especially among [...]
Comment by Allen on September 7, 2010
Having worked as a genetic researcher for a number of years, and having been the lone conservative among an overwhelming number of politically liberal colleagues I think I understand why so many scientists are liberal (and why engineers have a reputation for being more conservative).
Most scientists do work/research for which they would not likely be paid to do in the marketplace. We know that our research may lead to great discoveries and important technologies and yet it isn’t valued by the public in the way we think/know it should be. The fact that the majority of research doesn’t lead to anything useful (see http://www.theonion.com/articles/study-finds-jack-shit,453/) is a source of unspoken frustration or even embarrassment for many scientists. And this is where the difference between engineers and scientists is most stark. We scientists need to be rewarded for our efforts not necessarily our results - we can’t control whether an unknown investigation will yield something useful. Engineers are rewarded for their results, not their efforts. This I think has some parallels with the liberal/conservative dichotomy. Liberals have the good intentions mindset and conservatives have the useful results mindset.
Comment by Jeffrey Ellis on September 8, 2010
Allen, I think what you say makes a lot of sense - rewarding effort and intentions (scientists) versus rewarding results (engineers). And extra points for The Onion link!