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	<title>Comments on: And another thing&#8230;</title>
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	<link>http://jeffreyellis.org/blog/?p=2626</link>
	<description>Swimming upstream against a raging current of stupid.</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 10 Sep 2010 21:00:48 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Jim</title>
		<link>http://jeffreyellis.org/blog/?p=2626&#038;cpage=1#comment-4120</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Dec 2009 19:32:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Mr. Novella is partly correct and mostly way off base.  He is correct in that mass objections tend to be alarmist and a little off center in hitting the nail on the head.  It's a law of large numbers.  The French Revolution undoubtedly ended up cutting off innocent heads.

That does not mean that AGW and its demonstrated corruption of science, whether AGW is proven essentially correct or not, is not the story of the 21st century.  That 'rational' people, especially in the media, do not acknowledge that, is absurd.  The reason is simple; it proposes to change the way we live, and the way we think of ourselves within society.  That's a big thing.

But the approach has always neglected the scientific method.  The data is never made public.  The questions by skeptics: temperature location bias, city bias, causality, temperature readings, Middle Age warming period, physics definition of greenhouse effect, the inherent inability of regressions or any model, to describe a complex system, etc. HAVE NEVER BEEN PUBLICALLY ANSWERED.  On the contrary, when data does leak, as in the latest hack of the IPCC, skeptics see obfuscation or downright meddling (Brifa has 12 trees).

Then, contrary to all scientific method, not one AGW model has met the bar of random chance in predicting climate.  In fact, as governments lay in more sophisticated measurement devices, like the ocean temperature system, they tend to confirm skeptic thought.

So yes, the email hack is a huge deal.  Because it is a tip of the iceberg thing (no pun intended).  It is finally time for AGW to come completely clean with data and models, and allow statisticians and scientists to have a go at them.  Before we do anything to our economies (which is already too late, since we are diverting corn from hungry mouths to destroy our engines).  

No one believed Einstein's theories until he convinced the operator of a small telescope to capture an eclipse.  Even then, the community didn't applaud it until they had replicated the experiments.  We have had none of that in AGW.  NONE.  We can't even get access to the models.  It is the scientific equivalent of having Einstein tell us, "By the way, Energy bends space time.  Trust me.  I can't tell you how I know, but I do."  And every time we glimpse his work, he's screwing with the data.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mr. Novella is partly correct and mostly way off base.  He is correct in that mass objections tend to be alarmist and a little off center in hitting the nail on the head.  It&#8217;s a law of large numbers.  The French Revolution undoubtedly ended up cutting off innocent heads.</p>
<p>That does not mean that AGW and its demonstrated corruption of science, whether AGW is proven essentially correct or not, is not the story of the 21st century.  That &#8216;rational&#8217; people, especially in the media, do not acknowledge that, is absurd.  The reason is simple; it proposes to change the way we live, and the way we think of ourselves within society.  That&#8217;s a big thing.</p>
<p>But the approach has always neglected the scientific method.  The data is never made public.  The questions by skeptics: temperature location bias, city bias, causality, temperature readings, Middle Age warming period, physics definition of greenhouse effect, the inherent inability of regressions or any model, to describe a complex system, etc. HAVE NEVER BEEN PUBLICALLY ANSWERED.  On the contrary, when data does leak, as in the latest hack of the IPCC, skeptics see obfuscation or downright meddling (Brifa has 12 trees).</p>
<p>Then, contrary to all scientific method, not one AGW model has met the bar of random chance in predicting climate.  In fact, as governments lay in more sophisticated measurement devices, like the ocean temperature system, they tend to confirm skeptic thought.</p>
<p>So yes, the email hack is a huge deal.  Because it is a tip of the iceberg thing (no pun intended).  It is finally time for AGW to come completely clean with data and models, and allow statisticians and scientists to have a go at them.  Before we do anything to our economies (which is already too late, since we are diverting corn from hungry mouths to destroy our engines).  </p>
<p>No one believed Einstein&#8217;s theories until he convinced the operator of a small telescope to capture an eclipse.  Even then, the community didn&#8217;t applaud it until they had replicated the experiments.  We have had none of that in AGW.  NONE.  We can&#8217;t even get access to the models.  It is the scientific equivalent of having Einstein tell us, &#8220;By the way, Energy bends space time.  Trust me.  I can&#8217;t tell you how I know, but I do.&#8221;  And every time we glimpse his work, he&#8217;s screwing with the data.</p>
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